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The Tyndall Decarbonisation Scenarios Part I: development of a backcasting methodology with stakeholder participation

Alice Bows-Larkin, Kevin Anderson, P Agnolucci, P Ekins, S Shackley, Sarah Mander

Energy Policy. 2008;36(0):3754-3763.

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Abstract

The Tyndall decarbonisation scenarios project has outlined alternative pathways whereby a 60% reduction in CO2 emissions from 1990 levels by 2050, a goal adopted by the UK Government, can be achieved. This paper, Part I of a two part paper, describes the methodology used to develop the scenarios and outlines the motivations for the project. The study utilised a backcasting approach, applied in three phases. In phase one, a set of credible and consistent end-points that described a substantially decarbonised energy system in 2050 were generated and reviewed by stakeholders. In phase two, pathways were developed to achieve the transition to the desired end-point. The impacts of the scenarios were assessed in phase three, by means of a deliberative multi-criteria assessment framework. The scenarios to emerge from this process are elaborated in Part II, and conclusions drawn in relation to the feasibility of achieving the 60% target.

Bibliographic metadata

Type of resource:
Content type:
Publication type:
Publication form:
Published date:
Language:
eng
Journal title:
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Publisher:
Volume:
36
Issue:
0
Start page:
3754
End page:
3763
Total:
9
Pagination:
3754-3763
Related website(s):
  • Related website
Access state:
Active

Record metadata

Manchester eScholar ID:
uk-ac-man-scw:ma538
Created:
20th May, 2015, 11:41:26
Last modified:
20th May, 2015, 11:41:26

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