03
May
2019
|
14:59
Europe/London

Prof Peter Gries to give talk at University of Copenhagen's ThinkChina think tank

Prof Peter Gries, Director of the Manchester China Institute (MCI), will later this month (23 May 2019) give a lecture at the University of Copenhagen's ThinkChina think tank on the topic 'Will China "forcefully reunify" Taiwan? The potential problem of Wishful Thinking in Beijing, Taipei, and Washington’

ThinkChina brings together and cooperates with a broad range of public and private stakeholders that share a strategic interest in China.

Abstract

“We do not forsake the use of force,” Chinese president Xi Jinping warned on January 2, 2019.

While he also spoke of the 'peaceful reunification' of Taiwan, the tone and context of Xi’s speech suggested a final warning shot.

Positioning himself as the gentleman who advocated peace, Taiwan president Tsai Ying-wen is depicted as a villain opposing peace - so responsible for a subsequent conflict.

Seen as a double 'window of opportunity', 2019 is shaping up to be a dangerous year in the Taiwan Strait.

Wishful thinking in Beijing, Taipei, and Washington is increasing the odds of miscalculation.

Xi and many Chinese nationalists desperately desire reunification and appear to have convinced themselves that it can be accomplished by force.

Trump’s isolationist 'America First' rhetoric and volatile China policies have only encouraged such reckless thoughts.

And many Taiwanese appear to suffer from learned helplessness, remaining passive in the face of a threat they cannot control…

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